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9 条 记 录,以下是 1-9
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Spatial Characteristics of Temperature Indices of Climate Change in China
2010年
Based on the temperature indices established by expert group on the detection,monitoring and indices of climate change,spatial characteristics of temperature indices from 278 meteorological stations in China during 1961-2008 were studied.The results showed that day number of freezing point went down gradually from northwest to southeast,as well as the most regions of China.Day number of summer was mostly over 50 d in China and over 100 d in Eastern China except for the most part of Northeast China,while there was an increase trend in the most regions of China.Growth period was generally above 150 d in China and increased with the decrease of latitude from north to south,while the trend coefficient of growth period in 236 stations was positive.
王大钧胡春丽徐智鑫
Indicative Significance of ENSO for Summer Precipitation in Liaoning Province
2010年
Based on the summer precipitation data from 53 stations in Liaoning Province and sea surface temperature(SST) data of Hadley Center in 1961-2009,the decadal variation of the relationship between summer precipitation and SST over Nino3 oceanic regions in the previous autumn was studied.The results showed that their correlation was decreased obviously in recent 30 years.In 1961-1974,summer rainfall could be forecasted according to the SST anomaly over Nino3 oceanic regions in the previous autumn,and there were above 25 stations with the sign accuracy of over 66.7%.However,there were only five stations with the same accuracy during 1980-2009.From 1961 to 1974,25 stations showed block distribution in the central and northeastern Liaoning,but the distribution of five stations was spotty in 1980-2009.Before the middle and latter half of the 1970s,Liaoning had more(less) summer rainfall when SST over the equatorial central and eastern Pacific was higher(lower) in the previous autumn.However,it was difficult to build indicative relationship above since 1980s.
王大钧徐智鑫胡春丽
关键词:ENSODECREASE
气温异常偏高,台风灾害严重——2008年秋季(9—11月)浙江天气与气候被引量:1
2009年
浙江省2008年秋季气温异常偏高;降水与常年持平;日照偏少。秋季副高面积大、强度强,ENSO处于冷相位。季内有两次台风影响过程和一次强对流过程,其间的强风暴雨天气,对工农业、基础设施造成了较大的损失,并对交通造成了一定影响。
徐智鑫
关键词:秋季台风强对流
中国气候变化温度指数的空间特征被引量:1
2010年
运用气候变化检测、监测和指数专家小组制定的与温度相关的气候变化指数,对1961~2008年我国278个气象站温度指数的空间特征进行了研究。结果表明,冰点日数从西北向东南逐渐较少,全国范围内绝大部分地区冰点日数呈减少趋势;夏季日数普遍在50d以上,整个东部地区,除了东北大部分地区外,夏季日数都在100d以上,全国范围内大部分地区夏季日数呈增多趋势;我国的生长期普遍在150d以上,自北而南随着纬度的降低生长期逐渐增加,研究的278个站点中,有236个站点生长期的趋势系数为正值。
王大钧胡春丽徐智鑫
关键词:生长期
辽宁省长资料序列非均一性检验
徐智鑫赵春雨
Homogeneity Test on Temperature Series in Liaoning Province被引量:2
2010年
By means of SNHT,cumulative-departure and rank test,the homogeneity test of annual mean temperature series from 48 stations in Liaoning Province from 1961 to 2008 was carried out,and the reasons for heterogencity formation were analyzed combining with the historical evolution data of these stations.The results showed that all of the three methods were valid for the heterogencity test of temperature series,and there was certain complement between rank test and SNHT test.Station relocation was the main reason for temperature heterogencity,and heterogencity breakpoint mainly appeared in 1970s.
徐智鑫王大钧高杰
关键词:TEMPERATURE
大雾天气多发,低温暴雪罕见——2008年冬季(12-2月)浙江天气与气候被引量:3
2008年
浙江省2008年冬季气温、降水与常年持平,日照偏少。几次大雾天气对交通造成一定影响;1月中旬至2月上旬出现持续低温雨雪冰冻天气,浙北积雪量达50年一遇,持续低温雨雪冰冻对农业、林业、电力、交通等行业造成了严重影响和损失。冬季拉尼娜状态继续维持,中高纬度欧亚地区的大气环流异常稳定,同时南支槽比较活跃,是引起冬季南方地区大范围持续低温雨雪冰冻灾害的重要原因。
徐智鑫毛燕军
关键词:大雾暴雪拉尼娜
辽宁省气温序列均一性检验被引量:4
2010年
采用SNHT、累加距平法、秩检验法,对辽宁省48个代表站1961~2008年的年平均气温序列进行了非均一性检验,并结合台站历史沿革资料对非均一性产生的原因进行了分析。结果表明,3种方法均能有效地对台站的非均一性做出检测,秩检验法和SNHT检验法有一定的互补性。气温非均一性产生的主要原因是台站迁移,并且非均一性断点主要集中在20世纪70年代。
徐智鑫王大钧高杰
关键词:气温非均一性
ENSO对辽宁夏季降水预测指示意义的研究被引量:2
2010年
根据1961~2009年辽宁省内53个气象站的夏季降水资料和同一时期的哈德莱中心的海表面温度资料,研究了辽宁省夏季降水与相对应的前一年秋季Nino3区海表面温度关系的年代际变化。结果表明,近30年来两者之间的相关性已经显著减弱。在1961~1974年这个时段,根据前一年秋季Nino3区海表面温度距平预测夏季降水,符号准确率在66.7%以上的站数达到25站之多,但在1980~2009年这个时段,达到相同准确率的站数却只有5站。在前一个研究时段,25个站点呈现块状分布的特征,主要位于辽宁的中部和东北部地区,但后一个研究时段内的5站分布呈现点状特征。在20世纪70年代中后期之前,当前一年秋季赤道中东太平洋海温偏高时,辽宁省夏季降水容易偏多;反之,当前一年秋季赤道中东太平洋海温偏低时,辽宁省夏季降水容易偏少。但自从20世纪80年代至今,上面描述的指示关系难以稳定成立。
王大钧徐智鑫胡春丽
关键词:ENSO夏季降水
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