Anthropogenic aluminum cycle in China was analyzed by the aluminum flow diagram based on the life cycle of aluminum products. The whole anthropogenic aluminum cycle consists of four stages: alumina and aluminum production, fabrication and manufacture, use and reclamation. Based on the investigation on the 2003-2007 aluminum cycles in China, a number of changes can be found. For instance, resources self-support ratio (RSR) in alumina production dropped from 95.42%to 55.50%, while RSR in the aluminum production increased from 52.45%to 79.25%. However, RSR in the Chinese aluminum industry leveled off at 50%in the period of 2003-2007. The respective use ratios of domestic and imported aluminum scrap in the aluminum industry of 2007 were 5.38% and 9.40%. In contrast, both the net imported Al-containing resources and the lost quantity of Al-containing materials in aluminum cycle increased during the same period, as well as the net increased quantity of Al-containing materials in social stock and recycled Al-scrap. Proposals for promoting aluminum cycle were put forward. The import/export policy and reducing the loss of Al-containing materials for the aluminum industry in China in the future were discussed.
我国近些年来原铝产量和消费量快速增长,铝土矿资源严重不足,在很大程度上依赖于进口.随着铝社会蓄积量的增大,废铝资源将越来越多,并在铝工业中发挥更大的作用.通过对我国铝的社会蓄积量及其平均年龄、回收率、折旧再生指数等进行分析,得到以下结果:1990年~2010年铝的社会蓄积量从723万 t 增长到10355万 t;2010年铝制品的平均年龄约为4.3年,折旧再生指数和铝的社会蓄积量回收率分别为0.0747 t /t和1.17%.基于未来铝消费的3种情景进行了分析,在情景3下:预计我国铝的社会蓄积量在2035年达到最大值6亿 t,2055年稳定在5.7亿 t;铝制品平均年龄在2040年达到最大值(7.13年),同年折旧再生指数达到最大值(0.79 t/t),铝的社会蓄积量回收率也达到最大值(5.05%).研究结果将为铝工业相关政策的制定提供一定的参考.