Policies always have strong impacts on land-use and land-cover change （LUCC）,and thus indirectly affect the terrestrial carbon balance.In this paper,land use change from 2010 to 2025 in China was simulated with the Dynamics Land System （DLS） under an environmental conservation policy scenario,and the projected effect of this policy scenario on Chinese terrestrial carbon storage was evaluated.Under the simulation,forest coverage will increase by 23% while cropland and grassland will decrease by 37% and 11% respectively.Due to the large expansion of forest coverage,the forest carbon storage will have an accumulation of 66.0 Tg C y-1.This will take place mainly in central China in a band from the northeast to southwest.Grasslands,however,will be a carbon source of 5.7 Tg C y-1 in the same period as a result of the transformation of grassland to woodlands or deserts.As the carbon storage capacity of forest soil is considerably higher than that of grassland and cropland,such LUCC will eventually result in a soil carbon accumulation of 13.3 Tg C y-1.From 2000 to 2025,the carbon storage of Chinese terrestrial ecosystem is likely to increase by 1.8 Pg C,and thus the terrestrial ecosystem will be a carbon sink of 0.074 Pg C y-1,89.6% of which will result from an increase in forest carbon storage.
Ecosystem services related to water supply are now a hot topic in ecology and hydrology. Here, water supply service in the Lancang River basin was evaluated using the newly developed model InVEST. We found the mean annual water supply in Lancang River basin is approximately 7.24E＋10 m3 y-1 with 23.87% from main stream and 76.13% from the tributaries. There is an increasing trend downstream. Grasslands and forests contribute 71.66% of the total water. A comparison of water supply capacity per unit area for ecosystems of different composition indicates that there is a decreasing trend from broad- leafed forest, mixed coniferous and broad-leafed forest, bamboo forest, coniferous forest, shrub forest and grassland. Two-thirds of the total water is provided by an area covering 40% of the total basin area. This study provides guidelines for the efficient management of water resources in the Lancang River basin.
