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国家自然科学基金(41175051)

作品数:10 被引量:50H指数:4
相关作者:肖子牛赵亮尹志强宋燕韩延本更多>>
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10 条 记 录,以下是 1-10
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Possible Causes of the Interdecadal Transition of the Somali Jet Around the Late 1990s被引量:4
2015年
This observational study demonstrates that the Somali jet(SMJ) experienced a notable interdecadal transition in not only its lower-level parts(〈 850 hP a) but also its higher-level parts(850-600 h Pa) in the late 1990 s. The results also show that the jet at higher level is more significantly related to East Asian monsoon rainfall than that at lower level. Thus, a new whole-layer SMJ(WSMJ) index which includes variations of the higher-level jet is defined based on the average meridional wind speed at five levels(1000-600 h Pa). The interdecadal transition of the SMJ can be mainly attributed to the meridional thermal contrast anomalies near the equator which are associated with the three-pole pattern of the southern Indian Ocean.
肖子牛石文静杨萍
近60年索马里急流越赤道水汽输送的变化特征及对中国初夏降水的影响被引量:13
2013年
利用近60年(1951 -2010年)的NCEP/NCAR再分析风、比湿、地面气压及降水资料,建立了一个越赤道水汽输送强度指数来表征索马里急流的强度,并从季节、年际、年代际变化及突变等不同侧面出发,比较系统地分析了索马里急流越赤道水汽输送强度的变化特征,并进一步分析了它与我国初夏降水异常的关系及这种关系随时间的年代际变化特点。分析结果表明:进入20世纪90年代之后,索马里急流风速强度有明显的减弱趋势,而水汽输送强度无显著变化;与索马里急流风速强度相比,水汽输送强度与我国初夏6月降水量的关系更为密切。索马里急流弱年对应长江以北的华北地区初夏降水偏少,反之亦然。此外,索马里水汽输送对我国北方初夏降水的影响在1982年后明显加强。
石文静肖子牛
关键词:水汽输送
索马里急流多时间尺度的变化特征及其与中国降水的联系被引量:6
2014年
利用欧洲中心的再分析风场资料,采用相关分析、合成分析等方法,分析索马里急流活动的多时间尺度变化特征,研究其在年际、年代际尺度和季节以内尺度对中国降水的影响。结果表明,索马里急流强度的年代际变化特征较明显,急流在1960年代逐渐变弱,1970年代初最弱,1970年代末期开始缓慢增强。索马里急流在不同时间尺度上与中国夏季降水都有较密切的联系,初步分析表明,在年际尺度上索马里急流建立初期的5、6月与后期降水的超前相关性较好,在年代际尺度上急流与同尺度中国降水的关系密切。无论是超前还是同期相关,索马里急流强度与中国典型相关区降水的关系存在明显的年代际变化特征。此外,季节以内尺度索马里急流强度异常与过程也存在一定联系,在夏半年急流的主要活动时期,索马里急流强度的正(负)异常对应中国的降水偏多(少),且正距平异常时对中国降水的影响更大。
代玮肖子牛
关键词:气候学多时间尺度特征中国降水
Impact of the Preceding Boreal Winter Southern Annular Mode on the Summertime Somali Jet被引量:1
2014年
One of the major high-latitude circulation systems in the Southern Hemisphere is the Southern Annular Mode(SAM). Its effect on the Somali Jet(SMJ), which connects the Southern and Northern hemispheres, cannot be ignored. The present reported results show that time series of both the Southern Annular Mode Index(SAMI) during the preceding winter and the summertime Somali Jet intensity Index(SMJI) display a significant increasing trend and have similar interdecadal variation. The latter was rather strong around 1960, then became weaker up to the mid-1980 s, before starting to strengthen again. The lead-lag correlations of monthly mean SAMI with the following summertime SMJI showed significant positive correlations in November, December, and January. There are thus connections across two seasons between the SAM and the SMJ. The influence of the winter SAM on the summer SMJ was explored via analyses of SST anomalies in the Southern Indian Ocean. During strong(weak) SAM/SMJ years, the SST east of Madagascar is colder(warmer) while the SST west of Australia is warmer(colder), corresponding to the positive(negative) Southern Indian Ocean Dipole-like(SIODL) event. Subsequently, the SIODL excites an anticyclone located over the Arabian Sea in summer through air-sea coupling from winter to summer, which causes an increase in the summer SMJ intensity. The anticyclone/high branch of the SAM over the Southern Hemisphere subtropics and the cyclone/low over the east coast of Madagascar play an important role in the formation of Southern Indian Ocean "bridge" from winter to summer.
SHI Wen-JingXIAO Zi-Niu
EFFECTS OF INDIAN OCEAN SSTA WITH ENSO ON WINTER RAINFALL IN CHINA被引量:1
2014年
Based on Hadley Center monthly global SST,1960-2009 NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data and observation rainfall data over 160 stations across China,the combined effect of Indian Ocean Dipole(IOD)and Pacific SSTA(ENSO)on winter rainfall in China and their different roles are investigated in the work.The study focuses on the differences among the winter precipitation pattern during the years with Indian Ocean Dipole(IOD)only,ENSO only,and IOD and ENSO concurrence.It is shown that although the occurrences of the sea surface temperature anomalies of IOD and ENSO are of a high degree of synergy,their impacts on the winter precipitation are not the same.In the year with positive phase of IOD,the winter rainfall will be more than normal in Southwest China(except western Yunnan),North China and Northeast China while it will be less in Yangtze River and Huaihe River Basins.The result is contrary during the year with negative phase of IOD.However,the impact of IOD positive phase on winter precipitation is more significant than that of the negative phase.When the IOD appears along with ENSO,the ENSO signal will enhance the influence of IOD on winter precipitation of Southwest China(except western Yunnan),Inner Mongolia and Northeast China.In addition,this paper makes a preliminary analysis of the circulation causes of the relationship between IOD and the winter rainfall in China.
张晓玲肖子牛李跃凤
MULTI-TIMESCALE VARIATIONS OF SOMALI JET AND ITS RELATION WITH PRECIPITATION IN CHINA
2015年
Based on the ERA reanalysis winds data, the multi-time scale variations of Somali jet are analyzed synthetically. The jet's influences on rainfall in China on interannual, interdecadal and sub-monthly scales are also studied using correlation and composite analyses. The results demonstrate that the interdecadal variations of the jet are significant.The Somali jet became weaker in the 1960 s and became the weakest in the early 1970 s before enhancing slowly in the late 1970 s. Moreover, the relation between the Somali jet and summer precipitation in China is close, but varies on different timescales. Preliminary analysis shows that the intensity variations in May and June during the early days of establishment are well correlated with summer precipitation in China. The Somali jet intensity on the interdecadal scale is closely related with interdecadal variations of the precipitation in China. Regardless of leading or contemporaneous correlation, the correlations between the Somali jet intensity and the rainfall in northern and southern China show obvious interdecadal variations. Moreover, the link between the anomalies of the jet intensity in May-August and precipitation evolution on synoptic scale in China is further studied. China has more rainfall with positive anomalies of the Somali jet but less rainfall with negative anomalies during the active period of the jet. The influence of positive Somali jet anomalies on China precipitation is more evident.
代玮肖子牛
热带大气低频振荡强度年际异常对中国东部冬季降水的影响被引量:4
2013年
利用NOAA的逐日向外长波辐射(OLR)资料、NCAR/NCEP资料和中国台站降水资料,以低频振荡的能量与总能量的百分比作为低频振荡强度指数,初步研究了热带地区低频振荡强度的年际变化及其对中国东部冬季降水的影响。结果表明:冬季热带地区低频振荡强度高(低),则我国东部冬季降水多(少)。热带低频振荡强度的年际变化与欧洲西北部到我国南部的波列及东亚冬季风的年际变化密切相关。在热带低频振荡强度高值年,冬季北非槽和孟加拉湾槽加深,东亚大槽减弱,东亚冬季风减弱,我国东部地区南风异常,水汽输送强,导致降水偏多;反之,在热带低频振荡强度低值年,北非槽和孟加拉湾槽减弱,东亚大槽加深,东亚冬季风加强,我国东部地区北风异常,水汽输送减弱,导致降水偏少。
冯俊阳肖子牛
关键词:冬季降水年际变化东亚冬季风
太阳活动年代际变化对现代气候影响的研究进展被引量:17
2013年
太阳活动对现代气候变化尤其在年代际尺度的影响和贡献是亟待认识的科学问题之一。回顾了近年在年代际尺度上太阳活动影响地球气候的新观测证据,侧重阐述了太阳总辐射、紫外辐射和宇宙射线影响气候的途径和气候系统响应机制的细节,以及对其评估验证的新进展。此外,还指出对观测资料不确定性的评估、气候系统对太阳活动效应的放大机制的数值检验以及对未来可能的太阳活动极端事件的影响预估是目前研究中面临的挑战。最后,展望了该领域可能取得突破的关键点,为未来的科学研究提供参考。
肖子牛钟琦尹志强周立旻宋燕韩延本黄聪潘静赵亮
关键词:太阳总辐射宇宙射线
Spatial and Temporal Variations of Atmospheric Angular Momentum and Its Relation to the Earth Length of Day被引量:3
2014年
The characteristics of atmospheric-angular-momentum (AAM) and length-of-day (LOD) on different timescales are investigated in this paper, on the basis of the NECP/NCAR reanalysis data and an LOD dataset for 1962-2010. The variation and overall trend of the AAM anomaly (AAMA) at different latitudes are presented, and the relationship between AAMA and LOD is discussed. The AAMAs in different latitude regions exhibit different patterns of variation, and the AAMA in the tropics makes a dominant contribution to the global AAMA. In the tropics, the AAMA propagates poleward to the extratropical regions. It is confirmed that a downward propagation of the AAMA occurs in the lower stratosphere. Correlation analysis shows that the relationship between AAMA and LOD varies significantly on different timescales. Specifically, the tropical AAMA is positively correlated with LOD on short timescales, but they are not obviously correlated on long timescales. This indicates that the interaction between AAM and the earth's angular momentum follows the conservative restriction on short timescales, but the influence of the earth angular momentum on that of the atmosphere depends on the interaction process on long timescales.
杨萍石文静肖子牛董仕任菊章
冬季北极涛动对东亚表面温度的持续异常影响被引量:8
2015年
利用1950—2013年NCEP/NCAR再分析资料和哈德莱中心的海表面温度资料,统计分析了冬季北极涛动(AO)对东亚表面温度的影响。研究发现:冬季AO正位相时,东亚大槽减弱,西伯利亚高压减弱,低层风场异常偏南,东亚冬季风减弱,东亚冬季风区温度升高,而负位相时情况相反。冬季高纬度大气变率大,冬季逐月AO与东亚冬季温度的关系表明1月、2月AO分别与东亚表面温度的相关关系皆可持续2个月以上;AO正位相时,西太平洋海温和东亚表面温度均有所升高,由于海洋运动和变化具有缓慢性和持续性,西太平洋海温可以承载长达4个月的AO信号,西太平洋海温可持续影响东亚地区温度,导致AO持续影响东亚表面温度。
董仕肖子牛
关键词:北极涛动海气相互作用
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