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国家自然科学基金(40830958)

作品数:36 被引量:216H指数:7
相关作者:费建芳王元陆汉城宋金杰黄小刚更多>>
相关机构:解放军理工大学南京大学上海市气象局更多>>
发文基金:国家自然科学基金国家重点基础研究发展计划上海台风研究基金更多>>
相关领域:天文地球电子电信电气工程自动化与计算机技术更多>>

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36 条 记 录,以下是 1-10
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西太副高强度变化对台风变性的影响
利用中国气象局上海台风研究所整编的1949-2010年共62年的热带气旋年鉴资料和NCEP等压面常规资料,对发生在西北太平洋的变性台风和同一时期的副热带高压进行了分析和研究。表明在70年代末期东亚气候发生变迁的前后两个时...
刘吉敏黄泓陈中一王学忠
关键词:台风副热带高压统计特征
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西北太平洋变性热带气旋的若干特征
本文利用JRA-25再分析资料,计算了1979—2007年西北太平洋热带气旋(TC)的3个气旋相空间参数。通过分析变性TC的相空间特征,发现变性TC具有热力结构的不对称性和高低层热力的冷异常,并将其作为识别TC变性的客观...
王元
关键词:热带气旋
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变性再发展热带气旋Yaji(2006)的数值模拟研究
利用中尺度模式WRF对2006年14号热带气旋Yaji的变性过程进行了双重嵌套模拟。结果表明,采用高分辨率的TRMM/TMI卫星反演SST资料,在第一重区域(网格距为15km)采用WSM3微物理方案和Betts-Mill...
孙源钟中章立标
关键词:热带气旋WRF高分辨率
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2010年6月南方致洪暴雨过程合成分析
2010年5月初至6月底,我国南方遭受11轮暴雨袭击,造成严重洪涝灾害,江西第二大河抚河位于抚州市的唱凯堤发生决堤事故,损失严重。其中6月19日江南地区迎来该年入汛以来最强降雨过程。在近2个月中,与常年同期相比,南方很多...
姜勇强吕梅周祖刚王元罗坚
关键词:暴雨中尺度低涡
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NUMERICAL EXPERIMENT ON IMPACT OF ANOMALOUS SST WARMING IN KUROSHIO EXTENSION IN PREVIOUS WINTER ON EAST ASIAN SUMMER MONSOON
2011年
The impact of anomalous sea surface temperature (SST) warming in the Kuroshio Extension in the previous winter on the East Asian summer monsoon (EASM) was investigated by performing simulation tests using NCAR CAM3.The results show that anomalous SST warming in the Kuroshio Extension in winter causes the enhancement and northward movement of the EASM.The monsoon indexes for East Asian summer monsoon and land-sea thermal difference,which characterize the intensity of the EASM,show an obvious increase during the onset period of the EASM.Moreover,the land-sea thermal difference is more sensitive to warmer SST.Low-level southwesterly monsoon is clearly strengthened meanwhile westerly flows north (south) of the subtropical westerly jet axis are strengthened (weakened) in northern China,South China Sea,and the Western Pacific Ocean to the east of the Philippines.While there is an obvious decrease in precipitation over the Japanese archipelago and adjacent oceans and over the area from the south of the Yangtze River in eastern China to the Qinling Mountains in southern China,precipitation increases notably in northern China,the South China Sea,the East China Sea,the Yellow Sea,and the Western Pacific to the east of the Philippines.North China is the key area where the response of the EASM to the SST anomalous warming in the Kuroshio Extension is prominent.The surface air temperature shows a warming trend.The warming in the entire troposphere between 30oN and 50oN increases the land-sea thermal contrast,which plays an important role in the enhancement of the EASM.Atmospheric circulation and precipitation anomalies in China and its adjacent regions have a close relationship with the enhancement of the Western Pacific subtropical high and its northward extension.
王晓丹钟中谭言科杜楠
非对称台风风场的动力初始化应用研究被引量:5
2009年
在对比NCAR-AFWA三维Bogus(虚拟)风场及风压场方案的基础上,虚拟台风模型中的水平风场采用考虑台风移速、移向、摩擦等客观因素的非对称方案,垂直风场采用考虑高空反气旋环流的风廓线方案,然后利用Nudging动力初始化技术形成新的模式初始场。最后对"云娜"台风进行数值模拟,结果表明:通过合理引入客观因子及观测事实对台风Bogus模型进行构建,并利用同化方法使各个物理量相互协调,可以使初始场与实况更加接近,从而在一定程度上提高台风路径及强度的预报水平,并对降水分布的预报效果也有所改善。
王亮陆汉城潘晓滨张云
Impact of the Subtropical High on the Extratropical Transition of Tropical Cyclones over the Western North Pacific被引量:3
2013年
Recent publications have investigated the interactions between the extratropical transitions (ETs) of tropical cyclones (TCs) and midlatitude circulations; however, studies of ET events have rarely considered the relationship between the storm and the nearby subtropical high. The TC best-track data provided by the Regional Specialized Meteorological Center-Tokyo Typhoon Center of the Japan Meteorology Agency are used in conjunction with the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data to discuss the potential effects of the subtropical high on ETs over the western North Pacific basin. When the western Pacific subtropical high (WPSH) is weakened and withdrawn toward the east, more TCs follow recurving paths and the midlatitude trough activity is intensified. These changes lead to enhanced ET activity. By contrast, when the WPSH strengthens and extends westward, the number of TCs that follow direct westward paths increases and the midlatitude trough is relatively inactive. These conditions lead to reduced occurrences of ET cases. Abnormal activity of the WPSH should be considered as an important factor in determining ET activity.
宋金杰伍荣生权婉晴杨程
MICROPHYSICAL CHARACTERISTICS OF THE RAINDROP SIZE DISTRIBUTION IN TYPHOON MORAKOT(2009)被引量:23
2012年
Microphysical characteristics of the raindrop size distribution(RSD)in Typhoon Morakot(2009) have been studied through the PARSIVEL disdrometer measurements at one site in Fujian province,China during the passage of the storm from 7 to 10 August 2009.The time evolution of the RSD reveals different segments of the storm.Significant difference was observed in the microphysical characteristics between the outer rainband and the eyewall;the eyewall precipitation had a broader size distribution(a smaller slope) than the outer rainband and eye region.The outer rainband and the eye region produced stratiform rains while the eyewall precipitation was convective or mixed stratiform-convective.The RSD was typically characterized by a single peak distribution and well represented by the gamma distribution.The relations between the shape(μ)and slope(Λ)of the gamma distribution and between the reflectivity(Z)and rainfall rate(R)have been investigated.Based on the NW-Dm relationships,we suggest that the stratiform rain for the outer rainband and the eye region was formed by the melting of graupel or rimed ice particles,which likely originated from the eyewall clouds.
陈宝君王元明杰
关键词:MICROPHYSICS
EFFECTS OF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ON INTENSITY AND STRUCTURE OF TROPICAL CYCLONE被引量:7
2012年
In this study,the effect of vertical wind shear(VWS)on the intensification of tropical cyclone(TC)is investigated via the numerical simulations.Results indicate that weak shear tends to facilitate the development of TC while strong shear appears to inhibit the intensification of TC.As the VWS is imposed on the TC,the vortex of the cyclone tends to tilt vertically and significantly in the upper troposphere.Consequently,the upward motion is considerably enhanced in the downshear side of the storm center and correspondingly,the low-to mid-level potential temperature decreases under the effect of adiabatic cooling,which leads to the increase of the low-to mid-level static instability and relative humidity and then facilitates the burst of convection.In the case of weak shear,the vertical tilting of the vortex is weak and the increase of ascent,static instability and relative humidity occur in the area close to the TC center.Therefore,active convection happens in the TC center region and facilitates the enhancement of vorticity in the inner core region and then the intensification of TC.In contrast,due to strong VWS,the increase of the ascent,static instability and relative humidity induced by the vertical tilting mainly appear in the outer region of TC in the case with stronger shear,and the convection in the inner-core area of TC is rather weak and convective activity mainly happens in the outer-region of the TC.Therefore,the development of a warm core is inhibited and then the intensification of TC is delayed.Different from previous numerical results obtained by imposing VWS suddenly to a strong TC,the simulation performed in this work shows that,even when the VWS is as strong as 12 m s-1,the tropical storm can still experience rapid intensification and finally develop into a strong tropical cyclone after a relatively long period of adjustment.It is found that the convection plays an important role in the adjusting period.On one hand,the convection leads to the horizontal convergence of the low-level vorticity flux
陈启智方娟
关键词:CONVECTION
南京地区降水预报研究
南京地区地处东亚季风影响下的长江下游地区,又是梅雨锋暴雨的成灾区,以南京地区为例研究长江下游地区的降水特征,具有重要的典型性和示范性.本文利用南京市2004—2006年5—9月T213模式数值预报场资料和同期降水观测资料...
万夫敬袁慧玲宋金杰王元
关键词:降水概率预报LOGISTIC回归
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